PendingtimelineConfidence: 50%
AGI (country of geniuses) ~50% by 2026-2027
Dario Amodei assigns roughly 50% probability to AGI arriving in the 2026-2027 timeframe.
Source: Dario AmodeiClaimed: 2026-02-01Target: 2026-12-31 – 2027-12-31
View source ↗agianthropictimelinenear-term