2023-03 → Present
The AI takeoff is happening.
We're measuring it.
Future Shock maps the accelerating trajectory of artificial intelligence — across models, compute, robotics, research, and open source. Updated daily. No hype. No financial advice. Just the signal.
Six Tracking Axes
The dimensions of accelerationModel Capability
Benchmarks, multimodal, agents, context windows, tool use
Compute & Chips
GPU releases, FLOPs/dollar, training clusters, energy
Robotics
Humanoid milestones, autonomous deployments, LLM-driven demos
Research Velocity
arXiv publication rate, breakthrough papers, citation velocity
Open Source
GitHub commit velocity, AI co-authored code, framework growth
Policy
Government action, regulation, defense, trade, AI governance
Latest Signals
Updated dailyDid xAI just concede the AI race?
Elon Musk had lots of reasons to make a deal with Anthropic — but he wouldn’t have done it if he were ahead. PLUS: The incredible testimony of Shivon Zilis, and a big new study on school phone bans
Why you can never get your doctor to call you back
Like many AI companies automating work that humans currently do, Basata will eventually face a harder question about where the line is between augmenting workers and displacing them. For now, the founders say the administrative staff they work with aren't worried about that; they're more worried about drowning.
OpenAI is rolling out GPT-5.5-Cyber, a security-focused variant of the model, in a limited preview capacity to vetted cybersecurity teams (Sam Sabin/Axios)
Sam Sabin / Axios : OpenAI is rolling out GPT-5.5-Cyber, a security-focused variant of the model, in a limited preview capacity to vetted cybersecurity teams — The capabilities of the new models have sparked an urgent debate in Silicon Valley and the White House about how to keep them out of the hands of bad actors.
A US judge blocks DOGE's termination of $100M in National Endowment for the Humanities grants, saying ChatGPT prompts used to decide the cuts were ill-defined (Zoe Tillman/Bloomberg)
Zoe Tillman / Bloomberg : A US judge blocks DOGE's termination of $100M in National Endowment for the Humanities grants, saying ChatGPT prompts used to decide the cuts were ill-defined — A US judge blasted the Trump administration's Department of Government Efficiency project for relying on artificial intelligence tools …
Mozilla says Anthropic's Mythos Preview and other AI models helped it identify and ship 423 Firefox security bug fixes in April, compared to 31 a year earlier (Russell Brandom/TechCrunch)
Russell Brandom / TechCrunch : Mozilla says Anthropic's Mythos Preview and other AI models helped it identify and ship 423 Firefox security bug fixes in April, compared to 31 a year earlier — When Anthropic unveiled its new Mythos model in April, it also delivered a stern warning to anyone developing software.
Musk v. Altman Evidence Shows What Microsoft Executives Thought of OpenAI
Leaders at the tech giant were skeptical of OpenAI—but wary of pushing it into the arms of Amazon, according to emails dating back to 2018.
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