PendingtimelineConfidence: 10%
AGI will not be achieved by 2029
Marcus predicted that AGI, defined as flexible and general intelligence with reliability comparable to human intelligence, will not be achieved by 2029. He proposed specific benchmarks including converting math proofs to symbolic form.
Source: Gary MarcusClaimed: 2024-06-22Target: 2029-12-31
View source ↗agiskepticbenchmark