WrongcapabilityConfidence: 60%
Open source will overtake closed source as most-used AI models
Zuckerberg predicted that 2025 would be the year open source AI generally overtakes closed source as the most-used models, saying the prediction was "generally on track to be true."
Source: Mark ZuckerbergClaimed: 2025-04-29Target: 2025-12-31Resolved: 2026-03-06
View source ↗open-sourcellamameta
Autopsy
By end of 2025, closed models (GPT-5, Claude 4.x, Gemini 2.x) still dominated production usage and API revenue. Llama 3 and DeepSeek V3 gained significant traction in research and dev, but enterprise and consumer usage remained heavily closed-model. Zuckerberg's own "generally on track" framing was optimistic marketing.