PartialcapabilityConfidence: 70%

The first year of the agentic era mostly disappoints

The best agents will do some impressive stuff, but slowly and inconsistently. By end of 2025, most people will not be regularly using them. See also: Gary Marcus made a similar prediction (marcus-agents-unreliable-25)

Source: Casey NewtonClaimed: 2024-12-20Target: 2025-12-31Resolved: 2025-12-31
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