{ "canary_drift": { "endpoint_max_range": { "deepseek-v4-flash-deepinfra-fp8": null, "minimax-m3-minimax-fp8": null, "moonshot-kimi-k27-inceptron-int4": null, "nvidia-nemotron35-coreweave-bf16": null, "qwen38-27b-chutes-fp8": null, "zai-glm53-zai-fp8": null }, "epochs": { "end": { "deepseek-v4-flash-deepinfra-fp8": { "failure_rate": null, "observed": 0 }, "minimax-m3-minimax-fp8": { "failure_rate": null, "observed": 0 }, "moonshot-kimi-k27-inceptron-int4": { "failure_rate": null, "observed": 0 }, "nvidia-nemotron35-coreweave-bf16": { "failure_rate": null, "observed": 0 }, "qwen38-27b-chutes-fp8": { "failure_rate": null, "observed": 0 }, "zai-glm53-zai-fp8": { "failure_rate": null, "observed": 0 } }, "midpoint": { "deepseek-v4-flash-deepinfra-fp8": { "failure_rate": null, "observed": 0 }, "minimax-m3-minimax-fp8": { "failure_rate": null, "observed": 0 }, "moonshot-kimi-k27-inceptron-int4": { "failure_rate": null, "observed": 0 }, "nvidia-nemotron35-coreweave-bf16": { "failure_rate": null, "observed": 0 }, "qwen38-27b-chutes-fp8": { "failure_rate": null, "observed": 0 }, "zai-glm53-zai-fp8": { "failure_rate": null, "observed": 0 } }, "start": { "deepseek-v4-flash-deepinfra-fp8": { "failure_rate": null, "observed": 0 }, "minimax-m3-minimax-fp8": { "failure_rate": null, "observed": 0 }, "moonshot-kimi-k27-inceptron-int4": { "failure_rate": null, "observed": 0 }, "nvidia-nemotron35-coreweave-bf16": { "failure_rate": null, "observed": 0 }, "qwen38-27b-chutes-fp8": { "failure_rate": null, "observed": 0 }, "zai-glm53-zai-fp8": { "failure_rate": null, "observed": 0 } } } }, "cell_states": { "accepted": 3585, "ambiguous": 3, "infrastructure_error": 12 }, "conditions": { "A_independent": { "complete_fraction": 0.96, "complete_items": 96, "domain": { "arithmetic": { "failure_rate": 0.36752136752136755, "observed": 117 }, "code": { "failure_rate": 0.6583333333333333, "observed": 120 }, "constraint": { "failure_rate": 0.43333333333333335, "observed": 120 }, "extraction": { "failure_rate": 0.5126050420168067, "observed": 119 }, "tool_call": { "failure_rate": 0.9833333333333333, "observed": 120 } }, "endpoint": { "deepseek-v4-flash-deepinfra-fp8": { "complete_fraction": 1.0, "failure_rate": 0.54, "failures": 54, "observed": 100, "passes": 46, "planned": 100 }, "minimax-m3-minimax-fp8": { "complete_fraction": 1.0, "failure_rate": 0.57, "failures": 57, "observed": 100, "passes": 43, "planned": 100 }, "moonshot-kimi-k27-inceptron-int4": { "complete_fraction": 0.99, "failure_rate": 0.35353535353535354, "failures": 35, "observed": 99, "passes": 64, "planned": 100 }, "nvidia-nemotron35-coreweave-bf16": { "complete_fraction": 0.98, "failure_rate": 0.9897959183673469, "failures": 97, "observed": 98, "passes": 1, "planned": 100 }, "qwen38-27b-chutes-fp8": { "complete_fraction": 0.99, "failure_rate": 0.7676767676767676, "failures": 76, "observed": 99, "passes": 23, "planned": 100 }, "zai-glm53-zai-fp8": { "complete_fraction": 1.0, "failure_rate": 0.34, "failures": 34, "observed": 100, "passes": 66, "planned": 100 } }, "metrics": { "all_failure_rate": 0.1875, "covariance_diversification_index": 2.345839977670474, "dependence_inflation": 2.2881421027364377, "diagonal_variance": 0.03172210038986355, "endpoints": 6, "fleet_variance": 0.07258467348927874, "items": 96, "majority_failure_rate": 0.75, "mean_loss": 0.6059027777777778, "off_diagonal_covariance": 0.0408625730994152 }, "missingness_bounds": { "all_failure_high": 0.18, "all_failure_low": 0.18, "items": 100, "majority_failure_high": 0.73, "majority_failure_low": 0.72, "mean_loss_high": 0.595, "mean_loss_low": 0.5883333333333334, "missing_cells": 4 }, "nondegenerate_endpoint_pairs": 15, "nondegenerate_endpoints": 6, "universal_pass_rate": 0.010416666666666666 }, "A_shared": { "complete_fraction": 0.98, "complete_items": 98, "domain": { "arithmetic": { "failure_rate": 0.3416666666666667, "observed": 120 }, "code": { "failure_rate": 0.6218487394957983, "observed": 119 }, "constraint": { "failure_rate": 0.44166666666666665, "observed": 120 }, "extraction": { "failure_rate": 0.49166666666666664, "observed": 120 }, "tool_call": { "failure_rate": 0.957983193277311, "observed": 119 } }, "endpoint": { "deepseek-v4-flash-deepinfra-fp8": { "complete_fraction": 1.0, "failure_rate": 0.47, "failures": 47, "observed": 100, "passes": 53, "planned": 100 }, "minimax-m3-minimax-fp8": { "complete_fraction": 1.0, "failure_rate": 0.57, "failures": 57, "observed": 100, "passes": 43, "planned": 100 }, "moonshot-kimi-k27-inceptron-int4": { "complete_fraction": 0.99, "failure_rate": 0.3333333333333333, "failures": 33, "observed": 99, "passes": 66, "planned": 100 }, "nvidia-nemotron35-coreweave-bf16": { "complete_fraction": 0.99, "failure_rate": 0.9797979797979798, "failures": 97, "observed": 99, "passes": 2, "planned": 100 }, "qwen38-27b-chutes-fp8": { "complete_fraction": 1.0, "failure_rate": 0.72, "failures": 72, "observed": 100, "passes": 28, "planned": 100 }, "zai-glm53-zai-fp8": { "complete_fraction": 1.0, "failure_rate": 0.35, "failures": 35, "observed": 100, "passes": 65, "planned": 100 } }, "metrics": { "all_failure_rate": 0.16326530612244897, "covariance_diversification_index": 2.271666055125524, "dependence_inflation": 2.423152270703473, "diagonal_variance": 0.03281553171096617, "endpoints": 6, "fleet_variance": 0.0795170301797695, "items": 98, "majority_failure_rate": 0.673469387755102, "mean_loss": 0.5680272108843537, "off_diagonal_covariance": 0.046701498468803324 }, "missingness_bounds": { "all_failure_high": 0.16, "all_failure_low": 0.16, "items": 100, "majority_failure_high": 0.68, "majority_failure_low": 0.68, "mean_loss_high": 0.5716666666666667, "mean_loss_low": 0.5683333333333334, "missing_cells": 2 }, "nondegenerate_endpoint_pairs": 15, "nondegenerate_endpoints": 6, "universal_pass_rate": 0.02040816326530612 }, "E_independent": { "complete_fraction": 0.99, "complete_items": 99, "domain": { "arithmetic": { "failure_rate": 0.31666666666666665, "observed": 120 }, "code": { "failure_rate": 0.6, "observed": 120 }, "constraint": { "failure_rate": 0.425, "observed": 120 }, "extraction": { "failure_rate": 0.5462184873949579, "observed": 119 }, "tool_call": { "failure_rate": 0.975, "observed": 120 } }, "endpoint": { "deepseek-v4-flash-deepinfra-fp8": { "complete_fraction": 1.0, "failure_rate": 0.38, "failures": 38, "observed": 100, "passes": 62, "planned": 100 }, "minimax-m3-minimax-fp8": { "complete_fraction": 1.0, "failure_rate": 0.54, "failures": 54, "observed": 100, "passes": 46, "planned": 100 }, "moonshot-kimi-k27-inceptron-int4": { "complete_fraction": 0.99, "failure_rate": 0.3838383838383838, "failures": 38, "observed": 99, "passes": 61, "planned": 100 }, "nvidia-nemotron35-coreweave-bf16": { "complete_fraction": 1.0, "failure_rate": 1.0, "failures": 100, "observed": 100, "passes": 0, "planned": 100 }, "qwen38-27b-chutes-fp8": { "complete_fraction": 1.0, "failure_rate": 0.81, "failures": 81, "observed": 100, "passes": 19, "planned": 100 }, "zai-glm53-zai-fp8": { "complete_fraction": 1.0, "failure_rate": 0.32, "failures": 32, "observed": 100, "passes": 68, "planned": 100 } }, "metrics": { "all_failure_rate": 0.1717171717171717, "covariance_diversification_index": 1.9931818229536298, "dependence_inflation": 2.492270441422983, "diagonal_variance": 0.030743947410614078, "endpoints": 6, "fleet_variance": 0.07662223138413612, "items": 99, "majority_failure_rate": 0.6464646464646465, "mean_loss": 0.5723905723905723, "off_diagonal_covariance": 0.04587828397352205 }, "missingness_bounds": { "all_failure_high": 0.17, "all_failure_low": 0.17, "items": 100, "majority_failure_high": 0.65, "majority_failure_low": 0.65, "mean_loss_high": 0.5733333333333334, "mean_loss_low": 0.5716666666666667, "missing_cells": 1 }, "nondegenerate_endpoint_pairs": 10, "nondegenerate_endpoints": 5, "universal_pass_rate": 0.0 }, "E_shared": { "complete_fraction": 0.98, "complete_items": 98, "domain": { "arithmetic": { "failure_rate": 0.2916666666666667, "observed": 120 }, "code": { "failure_rate": 0.6833333333333333, "observed": 120 }, "constraint": { "failure_rate": 0.42016806722689076, "observed": 119 }, "extraction": { "failure_rate": 0.5042016806722689, "observed": 119 }, "tool_call": { "failure_rate": 0.9416666666666667, "observed": 120 } }, "endpoint": { "deepseek-v4-flash-deepinfra-fp8": { "complete_fraction": 1.0, "failure_rate": 0.39, "failures": 39, "observed": 100, "passes": 61, "planned": 100 }, "minimax-m3-minimax-fp8": { "complete_fraction": 1.0, "failure_rate": 0.54, "failures": 54, "observed": 100, "passes": 46, "planned": 100 }, "moonshot-kimi-k27-inceptron-int4": { "complete_fraction": 0.99, "failure_rate": 0.36363636363636365, "failures": 36, "observed": 99, "passes": 63, "planned": 100 }, "nvidia-nemotron35-coreweave-bf16": { "complete_fraction": 0.99, "failure_rate": 1.0, "failures": 99, "observed": 99, "passes": 0, "planned": 100 }, "qwen38-27b-chutes-fp8": { "complete_fraction": 1.0, "failure_rate": 0.8, "failures": 80, "observed": 100, "passes": 20, "planned": 100 }, "zai-glm53-zai-fp8": { "complete_fraction": 1.0, "failure_rate": 0.32, "failures": 32, "observed": 100, "passes": 68, "planned": 100 } }, "metrics": { "all_failure_rate": 0.16326530612244897, "covariance_diversification_index": 1.9722696528465928, "dependence_inflation": 2.522040003791828, "diagonal_variance": 0.030825560464735724, "endpoints": 6, "fleet_variance": 0.07774329663136731, "items": 98, "majority_failure_rate": 0.673469387755102, "mean_loss": 0.5663265306122449, "off_diagonal_covariance": 0.046917736166631585 }, "missingness_bounds": { "all_failure_high": 0.16, "all_failure_low": 0.16, "items": 100, "majority_failure_high": 0.68, "majority_failure_low": 0.68, "mean_loss_high": 0.57, "mean_loss_low": 0.5666666666666667, "missing_cells": 2 }, "nondegenerate_endpoint_pairs": 10, "nondegenerate_endpoints": 5, "universal_pass_rate": 0.0 }, "N": { "complete_fraction": 0.97, "complete_items": 97, "domain": { "arithmetic": { "failure_rate": 0.211864406779661, "observed": 118 }, "code": { "failure_rate": 0.5166666666666667, "observed": 120 }, "constraint": { "failure_rate": 0.425, "observed": 120 }, "extraction": { "failure_rate": 0.6416666666666667, "observed": 120 }, "tool_call": { "failure_rate": 0.957983193277311, "observed": 119 } }, "endpoint": { "deepseek-v4-flash-deepinfra-fp8": { "complete_fraction": 1.0, "failure_rate": 0.4, "failures": 40, "observed": 100, "passes": 60, "planned": 100 }, "minimax-m3-minimax-fp8": { "complete_fraction": 1.0, "failure_rate": 0.49, "failures": 49, "observed": 100, "passes": 51, "planned": 100 }, "moonshot-kimi-k27-inceptron-int4": { "complete_fraction": 1.0, "failure_rate": 0.4, "failures": 40, "observed": 100, "passes": 60, "planned": 100 }, "nvidia-nemotron35-coreweave-bf16": { "complete_fraction": 0.98, "failure_rate": 0.9693877551020408, "failures": 95, "observed": 98, "passes": 3, "planned": 100 }, "qwen38-27b-chutes-fp8": { "complete_fraction": 0.99, "failure_rate": 0.6262626262626263, "failures": 62, "observed": 99, "passes": 37, "planned": 100 }, "zai-glm53-zai-fp8": { "complete_fraction": 1.0, "failure_rate": 0.43, "failures": 43, "observed": 100, "passes": 57, "planned": 100 } }, "metrics": { "all_failure_rate": 0.18556701030927836, "covariance_diversification_index": 1.991473280684366, "dependence_inflation": 2.8067226890756305, "diagonal_variance": 0.03478784841542573, "endpoints": 6, "fleet_variance": 0.09763984345169913, "items": 97, "majority_failure_rate": 0.5979381443298969, "mean_loss": 0.5549828178694158, "off_diagonal_covariance": 0.0628519950362734 }, "missingness_bounds": { "all_failure_high": 0.18, "all_failure_low": 0.18, "items": 100, "majority_failure_high": 0.6, "majority_failure_low": 0.59, "mean_loss_high": 0.5533333333333333, "mean_loss_low": 0.5483333333333333, "missing_cells": 3 }, "nondegenerate_endpoint_pairs": 15, "nondegenerate_endpoints": 6, "universal_pass_rate": 0.030927835051546393 }, "O": { "complete_fraction": 0.97, "complete_items": 97, "domain": { "arithmetic": { "failure_rate": 0.22033898305084745, "observed": 118 }, "code": { "failure_rate": 0.4583333333333333, "observed": 120 }, "constraint": { "failure_rate": 0.4, "observed": 120 }, "extraction": { "failure_rate": 0.5546218487394958, "observed": 119 }, "tool_call": { "failure_rate": 0.9416666666666667, "observed": 120 } }, "endpoint": { "deepseek-v4-flash-deepinfra-fp8": { "complete_fraction": 1.0, "failure_rate": 0.39, "failures": 39, "observed": 100, "passes": 61, "planned": 100 }, "minimax-m3-minimax-fp8": { "complete_fraction": 1.0, "failure_rate": 0.42, "failures": 42, "observed": 100, "passes": 58, "planned": 100 }, "moonshot-kimi-k27-inceptron-int4": { "complete_fraction": 0.99, "failure_rate": 0.37373737373737376, "failures": 37, "observed": 99, "passes": 62, "planned": 100 }, "nvidia-nemotron35-coreweave-bf16": { "complete_fraction": 0.99, "failure_rate": 0.9797979797979798, "failures": 97, "observed": 99, "passes": 2, "planned": 100 }, "qwen38-27b-chutes-fp8": { "complete_fraction": 0.99, "failure_rate": 0.5555555555555556, "failures": 55, "observed": 99, "passes": 44, "planned": 100 }, "zai-glm53-zai-fp8": { "complete_fraction": 1.0, "failure_rate": 0.38, "failures": 38, "observed": 100, "passes": 62, "planned": 100 } }, "metrics": { "all_failure_rate": 0.16494845360824742, "covariance_diversification_index": 1.9730026556777485, "dependence_inflation": 2.7890178416767717, "diagonal_variance": 0.0344418193967163, "endpoints": 6, "fleet_variance": 0.09605884879725085, "items": 97, "majority_failure_rate": 0.5154639175257731, "mean_loss": 0.5240549828178693, "off_diagonal_covariance": 0.061617029400534554 }, "missingness_bounds": { "all_failure_high": 0.16, "all_failure_low": 0.16, "items": 100, "majority_failure_high": 0.51, "majority_failure_low": 0.5, "mean_loss_high": 0.5183333333333333, "mean_loss_low": 0.5133333333333333, "missing_cells": 3 }, "nondegenerate_endpoint_pairs": 15, "nondegenerate_endpoints": 6, "universal_pass_rate": 0.020618556701030927 } }, "difficulty_residual_sensitivity": { "contrasts": { "evidence_corruption": { "independent": { "dependence_inflation": 0.8436064104106854, "diagonal_variance": 0.022288135768146866, "fleet_variance": 0.018802414210112382 }, "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.5053443449092131, "matched_items": 94, "shared": { "dependence_inflation": 1.3983250302314718, "diagonal_variance": 0.027827113251900282, "fleet_variance": 0.03891134897921805 } }, "instruction_anchor": { "independent": { "dependence_inflation": 1.1404935367418434, "diagonal_variance": 0.025850682300176557, "fleet_variance": 0.029482536083718133 }, "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.050078152349232456, "matched_items": 93, "shared": { "dependence_inflation": 1.199061596599303, "diagonal_variance": 0.02747003342728644, "fleet_variance": 0.032938262139958305 } } }, "method": "five-fold item-family cross-fit; leave-endpoint-out O difficulty plus frozen domain and predicted-band features; ridge logistic endpoint calibration", "prediction_support_fraction": 0.995, "schema_version": "cmfc.common-shock-residual-sensitivity.v1" }, "endpoints": [ "deepseek-v4-flash-deepinfra-fp8", "qwen38-27b-chutes-fp8", "zai-glm53-zai-fp8", "minimax-m3-minimax-fp8", "moonshot-kimi-k27-inceptron-int4", "nvidia-nemotron35-coreweave-bf16" ], "execution_id": "common-shock-contemporary-v8-20260826", "metric_boundaries": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": "shared fleet SD divided by independent fleet SD", "capital_claim": "none", "dependence_inflation": "fleet variance divided by condition-specific diagonal variance", "n_eff": "secondary benchmark-relative covariance-diversification index" }, "neutral_equivalence": { "dependence_inflation_ratio_N_over_O": 1.0121342295121691, "dependence_ratio_margin": [ 0.9, 1.1 ], "dependence_ratio_within_margin": true, "matched_items": 95, "mean_difference_O_minus_N": -0.033333333333333215, "mean_margin": [ -0.03, 0.03 ], "mean_within_margin": false }, "planned_base_items": 100, "primary_contrasts": { "evidence_corruption": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.0062903351186923, "all_failure_difference": -0.010309278350515455, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 1.0071561093030503, "independent_condition": "E_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.0071306258555374384, "majority_failure_difference": 0.020618556701030855, "matched_fraction": 0.97, "matched_items": 97, "mean_loss_difference": -0.0068728522336770626, "mean_loss_difference_bounds": { "high": -0.0016666666666667052, "low": -0.00666666666666671 }, "per_endpoint_induced_failure": { "deepseek-v4-flash-deepinfra-fp8": { "independent_failure_given_shared_pass": 0.22033898305084745, "shared_failure_given_independent_pass": 0.22033898305084745 }, "minimax-m3-minimax-fp8": { "independent_failure_given_shared_pass": 0.3695652173913043, "shared_failure_given_independent_pass": 0.3409090909090909 }, "moonshot-kimi-k27-inceptron-int4": { "independent_failure_given_shared_pass": 0.20967741935483872, "shared_failure_given_independent_pass": 0.18333333333333332 }, "nvidia-nemotron35-coreweave-bf16": { "independent_failure_given_shared_pass": null, "shared_failure_given_independent_pass": null }, "qwen38-27b-chutes-fp8": { "independent_failure_given_shared_pass": 0.35, "shared_failure_given_independent_pass": 0.3157894736842105 }, "zai-glm53-zai-fp8": { "independent_failure_given_shared_pass": 0.06153846153846154, "shared_failure_given_independent_pass": 0.07575757575757576 } }, "planned_items": 100, "shared_condition": "E_shared", "support_by_domain": { "arithmetic": { "matched_items": 20, "planned_items": 20 }, "code": { "matched_items": 20, "planned_items": 20 }, "constraint": { "matched_items": 19, "planned_items": 20 }, "extraction": { "matched_items": 18, "planned_items": 20 }, "tool_call": { "matched_items": 20, "planned_items": 20 } }, "support_classification": "confirmatory_quality" }, "instruction_anchor": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.0304171508971272, "all_failure_difference": -0.010638297872340441, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 1.0329067823678943, "independent_condition": "A_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.03237694634435022, "majority_failure_difference": -0.04255319148936165, "matched_fraction": 0.94, "matched_items": 94, "mean_loss_difference": -0.015957446808510634, "mean_loss_difference_bounds": { "high": -0.01666666666666672, "low": -0.026666666666666616 }, "per_endpoint_induced_failure": { "deepseek-v4-flash-deepinfra-fp8": { "independent_failure_given_shared_pass": 0.22916666666666666, "shared_failure_given_independent_pass": 0.13953488372093023 }, "minimax-m3-minimax-fp8": { "independent_failure_given_shared_pass": 0.358974358974359, "shared_failure_given_independent_pass": 0.358974358974359 }, "moonshot-kimi-k27-inceptron-int4": { "independent_failure_given_shared_pass": 0.13114754098360656, "shared_failure_given_independent_pass": 0.11666666666666667 }, "nvidia-nemotron35-coreweave-bf16": { "independent_failure_given_shared_pass": 0.0, "shared_failure_given_independent_pass": 0.0 }, "qwen38-27b-chutes-fp8": { "independent_failure_given_shared_pass": 0.34615384615384615, "shared_failure_given_independent_pass": 0.19047619047619047 }, "zai-glm53-zai-fp8": { "independent_failure_given_shared_pass": 0.15, "shared_failure_given_independent_pass": 0.1774193548387097 } }, "planned_items": 100, "shared_condition": "A_shared", "support_by_domain": { "arithmetic": { "matched_items": 17, "planned_items": 20 }, "code": { "matched_items": 19, "planned_items": 20 }, "constraint": { "matched_items": 20, "planned_items": 20 }, "extraction": { "matched_items": 19, "planned_items": 20 }, "tool_call": { "matched_items": 19, "planned_items": 20 } }, "support_classification": "confirmatory_quality" } }, "provider_availability": { "ambiguous_events": 3, "boundary": "retry/missing delivery diagnostics are not recoded as model failures or pooled into failure dependence", "endpoint": { "deepseek-v4-flash-deepinfra-fp8": { "accepted": 600, "error_events": 2, "missing_cells": 0, "planned": 600, "retry_cells": 2, "retry_failure_phi_on_accepted": -0.05005920030528664 }, "minimax-m3-minimax-fp8": { "accepted": 600, "error_events": 0, "missing_cells": 0, "planned": 600, "retry_cells": 0, "retry_failure_phi_on_accepted": null }, "moonshot-kimi-k27-inceptron-int4": { "accepted": 595, "error_events": 79, "missing_cells": 5, "planned": 600, "retry_cells": 74, "retry_failure_phi_on_accepted": -0.015200841354147617 }, "nvidia-nemotron35-coreweave-bf16": { "accepted": 593, "error_events": 33, "missing_cells": 7, "planned": 600, "retry_cells": 26, "retry_failure_phi_on_accepted": -0.06172810095664727 }, "qwen38-27b-chutes-fp8": { "accepted": 597, "error_events": 0, "missing_cells": 3, "planned": 600, "retry_cells": 0, "retry_failure_phi_on_accepted": null }, "zai-glm53-zai-fp8": { "accepted": 600, "error_events": 0, "missing_cells": 0, "planned": 600, "retry_cells": 0, "retry_failure_phi_on_accepted": null } }, "quarantine_events": 0, "schema_version": "cmfc.common-shock-availability-diagnostic.v1", "terminal_error_types": { "HTTP_429": 114, "HTTP_504": 3 } }, "schema_version": "cmfc.common-shock-analysis.v2", "simultaneous_inference": { "confidence": 0.95, "critical_value": 2.2325827651498056, "finite_joint_draws": 9999, "intervals": { "evidence_corruption": { "estimate": 0.0071306258555374384, "finite_draws": 9999, "high": 0.13267361537953723, "low": -0.11841236366846235, "standard_error": 0.056232177137484934 }, "instruction_anchor": { "estimate": 0.03237694634435022, "finite_draws": 9999, "high": 0.14265590403065304, "low": -0.0779020113419526, "standard_error": 0.049395238289812356 } }, "method": "studentized max-absolute-statistic item-family-by-stratum intersection cluster bootstrap; singleton-cluster strata are self-representing certainty strata", "resamples": 9999, "schema_version": "cmfc.common-shock-simultaneous-inference.v1", "seed": 20260823, "tail_probability_monte_carlo_se": 0.002179558452417543 }, "subgroup_sensitivity": { "heterogeneity": { "A_shared_variant": { "a_shared-00": { "evidence_corruption": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.1205720941473682, "all_failure_difference": -0.1, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 1.3178442844284433, "independent_condition": "E_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.27599728375040905, "majority_failure_difference": 0.0, "matched_fraction": 1.0, "matched_items": 10, "mean_loss_difference": -0.01666666666666672, "planned_items": 10, "shared_condition": "E_shared" }, "instruction_anchor": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 0.9507082380237135, "all_failure_difference": -0.1, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.9323886639676112, "independent_condition": "A_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": -0.07000552980133781, "majority_failure_difference": -0.09999999999999998, "matched_fraction": 1.0, "matched_items": 10, "mean_loss_difference": -0.01666666666666672, "planned_items": 10, "shared_condition": "A_shared" } }, "a_shared-01": { "evidence_corruption": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 0.7169509687480624, "all_failure_difference": 0.0, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.6043956043956046, "independent_condition": "E_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": -0.5035263212843788, "majority_failure_difference": 0.4, "matched_fraction": 1.0, "matched_items": 10, "mean_loss_difference": 0.033333333333333215, "planned_items": 10, "shared_condition": "E_shared" }, "instruction_anchor": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 0.8933642943784517, "all_failure_difference": -0.2, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.9712723524402816, "independent_condition": "A_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": -0.029148363469572006, "majority_failure_difference": 0.0, "matched_fraction": 1.0, "matched_items": 10, "mean_loss_difference": -0.08333333333333337, "planned_items": 10, "shared_condition": "A_shared" } }, "a_shared-02": { "evidence_corruption": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.044465935734187, "all_failure_difference": 0.0, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 1.0047846889952154, "independent_condition": "E_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.004773278752657812, "majority_failure_difference": -0.2222222222222222, "matched_fraction": 0.9, "matched_items": 9, "mean_loss_difference": -0.11111111111111105, "planned_items": 10, "shared_condition": "E_shared" }, "instruction_anchor": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.0359395405656244, "all_failure_difference": 0.0, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 1.2382739212007503, "independent_condition": "A_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.21371841085462656, "majority_failure_difference": -0.11111111111111116, "matched_fraction": 0.9, "matched_items": 9, "mean_loss_difference": -0.03703703703703698, "planned_items": 10, "shared_condition": "A_shared" } }, "a_shared-03": { "evidence_corruption": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.1095100982991764, "all_failure_difference": 0.0, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 1.1067820229938448, "independent_condition": "E_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.10145672647296211, "majority_failure_difference": 0.2, "matched_fraction": 1.0, "matched_items": 10, "mean_loss_difference": 0.016666666666666663, "planned_items": 10, "shared_condition": "E_shared" }, "instruction_anchor": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 0.9483517644747597, "all_failure_difference": 0.0, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.89937106918239, "independent_condition": "A_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": -0.10605957196032421, "majority_failure_difference": 0.125, "matched_fraction": 0.8, "matched_items": 8, "mean_loss_difference": 0.04166666666666663, "planned_items": 10, "shared_condition": "A_shared" } }, "a_shared-04": { "evidence_corruption": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.1125816095180783, "all_failure_difference": 0.1, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 1.2878514878514877, "independent_condition": "E_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.25297531657096056, "majority_failure_difference": 0.0, "matched_fraction": 1.0, "matched_items": 10, "mean_loss_difference": 0.06666666666666665, "planned_items": 10, "shared_condition": "E_shared" }, "instruction_anchor": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 0.9999999999999999, "all_failure_difference": 0.1111111111111111, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.9130434782608696, "independent_condition": "A_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": -0.09097177820572663, "majority_failure_difference": 0.0, "matched_fraction": 0.9, "matched_items": 9, "mean_loss_difference": -0.01851851851851849, "planned_items": 10, "shared_condition": "A_shared" } }, "a_shared-05": { "evidence_corruption": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.1451966686277366, "all_failure_difference": 0.09999999999999998, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 1.241217798594848, "independent_condition": "E_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.21609299331754317, "majority_failure_difference": 0.0, "matched_fraction": 1.0, "matched_items": 10, "mean_loss_difference": 0.06666666666666676, "planned_items": 10, "shared_condition": "E_shared" }, "instruction_anchor": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 0.9621073524408894, "all_failure_difference": 0.0, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.8765009704905088, "independent_condition": "A_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": -0.13181746738756606, "majority_failure_difference": 0.0, "matched_fraction": 1.0, "matched_items": 10, "mean_loss_difference": 0.0, "planned_items": 10, "shared_condition": "A_shared" } }, "a_shared-06": { "evidence_corruption": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 0.941340000446853, "all_failure_difference": 0.0, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.8222564201211888, "independent_condition": "E_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": -0.1957029859517365, "majority_failure_difference": 0.10000000000000009, "matched_fraction": 1.0, "matched_items": 10, "mean_loss_difference": 0.033333333333333326, "planned_items": 10, "shared_condition": "E_shared" }, "instruction_anchor": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.1435437497937313, "all_failure_difference": 0.10000000000000003, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 1.148494983277592, "independent_condition": "A_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.13845237507268868, "majority_failure_difference": -0.10000000000000009, "matched_fraction": 1.0, "matched_items": 10, "mean_loss_difference": -0.033333333333333326, "planned_items": 10, "shared_condition": "A_shared" } }, "a_shared-07": { "evidence_corruption": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 0.806946584785929, "all_failure_difference": 0.0, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.8879492600422834, "independent_condition": "E_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": -0.11884067721451891, "majority_failure_difference": -0.11111111111111116, "matched_fraction": 0.9, "matched_items": 9, "mean_loss_difference": -0.055555555555555525, "planned_items": 10, "shared_condition": "E_shared" }, "instruction_anchor": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.1055415967851332, "all_failure_difference": 0.0, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.94017094017094, "independent_condition": "A_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": -0.06169356900534002, "majority_failure_difference": -0.11111111111111116, "matched_fraction": 0.9, "matched_items": 9, "mean_loss_difference": -0.018518518518518545, "planned_items": 10, "shared_condition": "A_shared" } }, "a_shared-08": { "evidence_corruption": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 0.7578418860978352, "all_failure_difference": -0.2222222222222222, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.6317567567567566, "independent_condition": "E_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": -0.45925083746947404, "majority_failure_difference": 0.2222222222222222, "matched_fraction": 0.9, "matched_items": 9, "mean_loss_difference": 0.037037037037037035, "planned_items": 10, "shared_condition": "E_shared" }, "instruction_anchor": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.160181348430354, "all_failure_difference": 0.0, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 1.3226117045283585, "independent_condition": "A_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.2796083458551045, "majority_failure_difference": -0.09999999999999998, "matched_fraction": 1.0, "matched_items": 10, "mean_loss_difference": -0.033333333333333326, "planned_items": 10, "shared_condition": "A_shared" } }, "a_shared-09": { "evidence_corruption": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.1578536176909409, "all_failure_difference": 0.0, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 1.3285472972972974, "independent_condition": "E_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.2840860876143269, "majority_failure_difference": -0.4, "matched_fraction": 1.0, "matched_items": 10, "mean_loss_difference": -0.1499999999999999, "planned_items": 10, "shared_condition": "E_shared" }, "instruction_anchor": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 0.985329278164293, "all_failure_difference": 0.0, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.8737864077669903, "independent_condition": "A_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": -0.13491931789937064, "majority_failure_difference": 0.0, "matched_fraction": 0.9, "matched_items": 9, "mean_loss_difference": 0.05555555555555558, "planned_items": 10, "shared_condition": "A_shared" } } }, "E_shared_variant": { "e_shared-00": { "evidence_corruption": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.1451966686277366, "all_failure_difference": 0.09999999999999998, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 1.241217798594848, "independent_condition": "E_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.21609299331754317, "majority_failure_difference": 0.0, "matched_fraction": 1.0, "matched_items": 10, "mean_loss_difference": 0.06666666666666676, "planned_items": 10, "shared_condition": "E_shared" }, "instruction_anchor": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 0.9621073524408894, "all_failure_difference": 0.0, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.8765009704905088, "independent_condition": "A_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": -0.13181746738756606, "majority_failure_difference": 0.0, "matched_fraction": 1.0, "matched_items": 10, "mean_loss_difference": 0.0, "planned_items": 10, "shared_condition": "A_shared" } }, "e_shared-01": { "evidence_corruption": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 0.941340000446853, "all_failure_difference": 0.0, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.8222564201211888, "independent_condition": "E_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": -0.1957029859517365, "majority_failure_difference": 0.10000000000000009, "matched_fraction": 1.0, "matched_items": 10, "mean_loss_difference": 0.033333333333333326, "planned_items": 10, "shared_condition": "E_shared" }, "instruction_anchor": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.1435437497937313, "all_failure_difference": 0.10000000000000003, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 1.148494983277592, "independent_condition": "A_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.13845237507268868, "majority_failure_difference": -0.10000000000000009, "matched_fraction": 1.0, "matched_items": 10, "mean_loss_difference": -0.033333333333333326, "planned_items": 10, "shared_condition": "A_shared" } }, "e_shared-02": { "evidence_corruption": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 0.806946584785929, "all_failure_difference": 0.0, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.8879492600422834, "independent_condition": "E_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": -0.11884067721451891, "majority_failure_difference": -0.11111111111111116, "matched_fraction": 0.9, "matched_items": 9, "mean_loss_difference": -0.055555555555555525, "planned_items": 10, "shared_condition": "E_shared" }, "instruction_anchor": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.1055415967851332, "all_failure_difference": 0.0, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.94017094017094, "independent_condition": "A_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": -0.06169356900534002, "majority_failure_difference": -0.11111111111111116, "matched_fraction": 0.9, "matched_items": 9, "mean_loss_difference": -0.018518518518518545, "planned_items": 10, "shared_condition": "A_shared" } }, "e_shared-03": { "evidence_corruption": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 0.7578418860978352, "all_failure_difference": -0.2222222222222222, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.6317567567567566, "independent_condition": "E_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": -0.45925083746947404, "majority_failure_difference": 0.2222222222222222, "matched_fraction": 0.9, "matched_items": 9, "mean_loss_difference": 0.037037037037037035, "planned_items": 10, "shared_condition": "E_shared" }, "instruction_anchor": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.160181348430354, "all_failure_difference": 0.0, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 1.3226117045283585, "independent_condition": "A_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.2796083458551045, "majority_failure_difference": -0.09999999999999998, "matched_fraction": 1.0, "matched_items": 10, "mean_loss_difference": -0.033333333333333326, "planned_items": 10, "shared_condition": "A_shared" } }, "e_shared-04": { "evidence_corruption": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.1578536176909409, "all_failure_difference": 0.0, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 1.3285472972972974, "independent_condition": "E_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.2840860876143269, "majority_failure_difference": -0.4, "matched_fraction": 1.0, "matched_items": 10, "mean_loss_difference": -0.1499999999999999, "planned_items": 10, "shared_condition": "E_shared" }, "instruction_anchor": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 0.985329278164293, "all_failure_difference": 0.0, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.8737864077669903, "independent_condition": "A_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": -0.13491931789937064, "majority_failure_difference": 0.0, "matched_fraction": 0.9, "matched_items": 9, "mean_loss_difference": 0.05555555555555558, "planned_items": 10, "shared_condition": "A_shared" } }, "e_shared-05": { "evidence_corruption": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.1205720941473682, "all_failure_difference": -0.1, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 1.3178442844284433, "independent_condition": "E_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.27599728375040905, "majority_failure_difference": 0.0, "matched_fraction": 1.0, "matched_items": 10, "mean_loss_difference": -0.01666666666666672, "planned_items": 10, "shared_condition": "E_shared" }, "instruction_anchor": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 0.9507082380237135, "all_failure_difference": -0.1, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.9323886639676112, "independent_condition": "A_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": -0.07000552980133781, "majority_failure_difference": -0.09999999999999998, "matched_fraction": 1.0, "matched_items": 10, "mean_loss_difference": -0.01666666666666672, "planned_items": 10, "shared_condition": "A_shared" } }, "e_shared-06": { "evidence_corruption": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 0.7169509687480624, "all_failure_difference": 0.0, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.6043956043956046, "independent_condition": "E_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": -0.5035263212843788, "majority_failure_difference": 0.4, "matched_fraction": 1.0, "matched_items": 10, "mean_loss_difference": 0.033333333333333215, "planned_items": 10, "shared_condition": "E_shared" }, "instruction_anchor": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 0.8933642943784517, "all_failure_difference": -0.2, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.9712723524402816, "independent_condition": "A_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": -0.029148363469572006, "majority_failure_difference": 0.0, "matched_fraction": 1.0, "matched_items": 10, "mean_loss_difference": -0.08333333333333337, "planned_items": 10, "shared_condition": "A_shared" } }, "e_shared-07": { "evidence_corruption": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.044465935734187, "all_failure_difference": 0.0, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 1.0047846889952154, "independent_condition": "E_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.004773278752657812, "majority_failure_difference": -0.2222222222222222, "matched_fraction": 0.9, "matched_items": 9, "mean_loss_difference": -0.11111111111111105, "planned_items": 10, "shared_condition": "E_shared" }, "instruction_anchor": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.0359395405656244, "all_failure_difference": 0.0, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 1.2382739212007503, "independent_condition": "A_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.21371841085462656, "majority_failure_difference": -0.11111111111111116, "matched_fraction": 0.9, "matched_items": 9, "mean_loss_difference": -0.03703703703703698, "planned_items": 10, "shared_condition": "A_shared" } }, "e_shared-08": { "evidence_corruption": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.1095100982991764, "all_failure_difference": 0.0, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 1.1067820229938448, "independent_condition": "E_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.10145672647296211, "majority_failure_difference": 0.2, "matched_fraction": 1.0, "matched_items": 10, "mean_loss_difference": 0.016666666666666663, "planned_items": 10, "shared_condition": "E_shared" }, "instruction_anchor": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 0.9483517644747597, "all_failure_difference": 0.0, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.89937106918239, "independent_condition": "A_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": -0.10605957196032421, "majority_failure_difference": 0.125, "matched_fraction": 0.8, "matched_items": 8, "mean_loss_difference": 0.04166666666666663, "planned_items": 10, "shared_condition": "A_shared" } }, "e_shared-09": { "evidence_corruption": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.1125816095180783, "all_failure_difference": 0.1, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 1.2878514878514877, "independent_condition": "E_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.25297531657096056, "majority_failure_difference": 0.0, "matched_fraction": 1.0, "matched_items": 10, "mean_loss_difference": 0.06666666666666665, "planned_items": 10, "shared_condition": "E_shared" }, "instruction_anchor": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 0.9999999999999999, "all_failure_difference": 0.1111111111111111, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.9130434782608696, "independent_condition": "A_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": -0.09097177820572663, "majority_failure_difference": 0.0, "matched_fraction": 0.9, "matched_items": 9, "mean_loss_difference": -0.01851851851851849, "planned_items": 10, "shared_condition": "A_shared" } } }, "domain": { "arithmetic": { "evidence_corruption": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 0.8642079297900186, "all_failure_difference": 0.0, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.8312281255756427, "independent_condition": "E_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": -0.18485100245529254, "majority_failure_difference": 0.0, "matched_fraction": 1.0, "matched_items": 20, "mean_loss_difference": -0.025000000000000022, "planned_items": 20, "shared_condition": "E_shared" }, "instruction_anchor": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 0.9567180599602327, "all_failure_difference": 0.0, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.8879867762166368, "independent_condition": "A_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": -0.11879842774878022, "majority_failure_difference": -0.05882352941176472, "matched_fraction": 0.85, "matched_items": 17, "mean_loss_difference": -0.029411764705882304, "planned_items": 20, "shared_condition": "A_shared" } }, "code": { "evidence_corruption": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 0.9730408576407765, "all_failure_difference": 0.05, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 1.191561731075409, "independent_condition": "E_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.17526482576172453, "majority_failure_difference": 0.15000000000000002, "matched_fraction": 1.0, "matched_items": 20, "mean_loss_difference": 0.08333333333333337, "planned_items": 20, "shared_condition": "E_shared" }, "instruction_anchor": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.6684674955730434, "all_failure_difference": 0.05263157894736842, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 2.027495703796281, "independent_condition": "A_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.7068013880391099, "majority_failure_difference": -0.1578947368421053, "matched_fraction": 0.95, "matched_items": 19, "mean_loss_difference": -0.02631578947368418, "planned_items": 20, "shared_condition": "A_shared" } }, "constraint": { "evidence_corruption": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.0, "all_failure_difference": 0.0, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 1.1818181818181817, "independent_condition": "E_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.16705408466316607, "majority_failure_difference": -0.05263157894736842, "matched_fraction": 0.95, "matched_items": 19, "mean_loss_difference": -0.02631578947368418, "planned_items": 20, "shared_condition": "E_shared" }, "instruction_anchor": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.1057581785477724, "all_failure_difference": 0.0, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 1.2749533352981628, "independent_condition": "A_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.24290957817445485, "majority_failure_difference": 0.0, "matched_fraction": 1.0, "matched_items": 20, "mean_loss_difference": 0.008333333333333304, "planned_items": 20, "shared_condition": "A_shared" } }, "extraction": { "evidence_corruption": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 0.9486832980505139, "all_failure_difference": 0.0, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.9356435643564357, "independent_condition": "E_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": -0.06652068234156232, "majority_failure_difference": 0.0, "matched_fraction": 0.9, "matched_items": 18, "mean_loss_difference": -0.03703703703703698, "planned_items": 20, "shared_condition": "E_shared" }, "instruction_anchor": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 0.9039935293326326, "all_failure_difference": 0.0, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.8834641092705612, "independent_condition": "A_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": -0.12390461139721266, "majority_failure_difference": 0.0, "matched_fraction": 0.95, "matched_items": 19, "mean_loss_difference": -0.01754385964912275, "planned_items": 20, "shared_condition": "A_shared" } }, "tool_call": { "evidence_corruption": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.8311038136792213, "all_failure_difference": -0.09999999999999998, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 1.5240641711229947, "independent_condition": "E_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.421380563414064, "majority_failure_difference": 0.0, "matched_fraction": 1.0, "matched_items": 20, "mean_loss_difference": -0.033333333333333326, "planned_items": 20, "shared_condition": "E_shared" }, "instruction_anchor": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.3284223283101433, "all_failure_difference": -0.10526315789473684, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.9999999999999999, "independent_condition": "A_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": -1.1102230246251565e-16, "majority_failure_difference": 0.0, "matched_fraction": 0.95, "matched_items": 19, "mean_loss_difference": -0.01754385964912275, "planned_items": 20, "shared_condition": "A_shared" } } }, "predicted_difficulty_band": { "tier-1": { "evidence_corruption": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 0.9168747682531899, "all_failure_difference": 0.0, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.9161031276415893, "independent_condition": "E_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": -0.08762633588363504, "majority_failure_difference": 0.23529411764705876, "matched_fraction": 0.9444444444444444, "matched_items": 17, "mean_loss_difference": 0.08823529411764708, "planned_items": 18, "shared_condition": "E_shared" }, "instruction_anchor": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.0031555774234635, "all_failure_difference": 0.0, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.9759288641512316, "independent_condition": "A_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": -0.024365580316243116, "majority_failure_difference": 0.0, "matched_fraction": 0.8888888888888888, "matched_items": 16, "mean_loss_difference": 0.03125, "planned_items": 18, "shared_condition": "A_shared" } }, "tier-2": { "evidence_corruption": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 0.976436481196358, "all_failure_difference": 0.0, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.9717047807595817, "independent_condition": "E_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": -0.0287032441533939, "majority_failure_difference": 0.0, "matched_fraction": 1.0, "matched_items": 18, "mean_loss_difference": -0.018518518518518434, "planned_items": 18, "shared_condition": "E_shared" }, "instruction_anchor": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.0131488480155786, "all_failure_difference": 0.058823529411764705, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.8524925224327018, "independent_condition": "A_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": -0.15959084120287287, "majority_failure_difference": 0.05882352941176472, "matched_fraction": 0.9444444444444444, "matched_items": 17, "mean_loss_difference": 0.039215686274509776, "planned_items": 18, "shared_condition": "A_shared" } }, "tier-3": { "evidence_corruption": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.1383209775310843, "all_failure_difference": 0.047619047619047616, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 1.1686191917862312, "independent_condition": "E_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.15582287389075877, "majority_failure_difference": -0.04761904761904756, "matched_fraction": 1.0, "matched_items": 21, "mean_loss_difference": 0.023809523809523836, "planned_items": 21, "shared_condition": "E_shared" }, "instruction_anchor": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.030427876755769, "all_failure_difference": -0.05, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 1.1347284373080633, "independent_condition": "A_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.12639336002193466, "majority_failure_difference": -0.20000000000000007, "matched_fraction": 0.9523809523809523, "matched_items": 20, "mean_loss_difference": -0.09166666666666656, "planned_items": 21, "shared_condition": "A_shared" } }, "tier-4": { "evidence_corruption": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.084442471451489, "all_failure_difference": 0.0, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 1.111009593421654, "independent_condition": "E_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.10526914556319489, "majority_failure_difference": 0.03846153846153855, "matched_fraction": 0.9285714285714286, "matched_items": 26, "mean_loss_difference": 0.0, "planned_items": 28, "shared_condition": "E_shared" }, "instruction_anchor": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.0967264876732232, "all_failure_difference": 0.0, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 1.2043490770979297, "independent_condition": "A_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.18593923600917703, "majority_failure_difference": -0.038461538461538436, "matched_fraction": 0.9285714285714286, "matched_items": 26, "mean_loss_difference": -0.019230769230769162, "planned_items": 28, "shared_condition": "A_shared" } }, "tier-5": { "evidence_corruption": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.1249142628509214, "all_failure_difference": -0.13333333333333336, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 1.1863425925925928, "independent_condition": "E_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.1708751227684531, "majority_failure_difference": -0.1333333333333333, "matched_fraction": 1.0, "matched_items": 15, "mean_loss_difference": -0.15555555555555545, "planned_items": 15, "shared_condition": "E_shared" }, "instruction_anchor": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 0.9530986027504633, "all_failure_difference": -0.06666666666666665, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.9000630296239231, "independent_condition": "A_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": -0.10529048519454627, "majority_failure_difference": 0.0, "matched_fraction": 1.0, "matched_items": 15, "mean_loss_difference": -0.022222222222222254, "planned_items": 15, "shared_condition": "A_shared" } } }, "template_family_id": { "cs-v7-arithmetic-lower-tier-batch-reconciliation": { "evidence_corruption": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": NaN, "all_failure_difference": 0.0, "dependence_inflation_ratio": NaN, "independent_condition": "E_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": NaN, "majority_failure_difference": 0.0, "matched_fraction": 1.0, "matched_items": 5, "mean_loss_difference": 0.0, "planned_items": 5, "shared_condition": "E_shared" }, "instruction_anchor": { "estimate": null, "matched_items": 3 } }, "cs-v7-arithmetic-semantic-crate-reconciliation": { "evidence_corruption": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 0.8134892168199606, "all_failure_difference": 0.0, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.7352941176470587, "independent_condition": "E_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": -0.3074846997479609, "majority_failure_difference": 0.0, "matched_fraction": 1.0, "matched_items": 6, "mean_loss_difference": -0.027777777777777846, "planned_items": 6, "shared_condition": "E_shared" }, "instruction_anchor": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.3972762620115435, "all_failure_difference": 0.0, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.8187403993855605, "independent_condition": "A_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": -0.19998821804272487, "majority_failure_difference": -0.33333333333333337, "matched_fraction": 1.0, "matched_items": 6, "mean_loss_difference": -0.05555555555555547, "planned_items": 6, "shared_condition": "A_shared" } }, "cs-v7-arithmetic-semantic-shift-loss-recovery": { "evidence_corruption": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 0.8808303292720554, "all_failure_difference": 0.0, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.8463949843260192, "independent_condition": "E_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": -0.16676914378646931, "majority_failure_difference": 0.0, "matched_fraction": 1.0, "matched_items": 9, "mean_loss_difference": -0.037037037037037035, "planned_items": 9, "shared_condition": "E_shared" }, "instruction_anchor": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 0.9113973673926883, "all_failure_difference": 0.0, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.9967741935483875, "independent_condition": "A_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": -0.0032310205814460864, "majority_failure_difference": 0.125, "matched_fraction": 0.8888888888888888, "matched_items": 8, "mean_loss_difference": -0.02083333333333337, "planned_items": 9, "shared_condition": "A_shared" } }, "cs-v7-code-fresh-layered-config-precedence": { "evidence_corruption": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 0.8674533114380004, "all_failure_difference": 0.0, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 1.1287128712871286, "independent_condition": "E_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.12107793155323592, "majority_failure_difference": 0.09999999999999998, "matched_fraction": 1.0, "matched_items": 10, "mean_loss_difference": 0.08333333333333337, "planned_items": 10, "shared_condition": "E_shared" }, "instruction_anchor": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.9595917942265422, "all_failure_difference": 0.0, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 2.1688888888888886, "independent_condition": "A_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.774215003648727, "majority_failure_difference": -0.30000000000000004, "matched_fraction": 1.0, "matched_items": 10, "mean_loss_difference": -0.050000000000000044, "planned_items": 10, "shared_condition": "A_shared" } }, "cs-v7-code-fresh-versioned-transition-policy": { "evidence_corruption": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.084652289093281, "all_failure_difference": 0.1, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 1.4013840830449826, "independent_condition": "E_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.3374603789941069, "majority_failure_difference": 0.19999999999999996, "matched_fraction": 1.0, "matched_items": 10, "mean_loss_difference": 0.08333333333333337, "planned_items": 10, "shared_condition": "E_shared" }, "instruction_anchor": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.7320508075688776, "all_failure_difference": 0.1111111111111111, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 3.25, "independent_condition": "A_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 1.1786549963416462, "majority_failure_difference": 0.0, "matched_fraction": 0.9, "matched_items": 9, "mean_loss_difference": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "planned_items": 10, "shared_condition": "A_shared" } }, "cs-v7-constraint-fresh-multi-adjustment-band-policy": { "evidence_corruption": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.2428010522386699, "all_failure_difference": 0.0, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 1.6947194719471954, "independent_condition": "E_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.5275172238592442, "majority_failure_difference": -0.29999999999999993, "matched_fraction": 0.9090909090909091, "matched_items": 10, "mean_loss_difference": -0.08333333333333331, "planned_items": 11, "shared_condition": "E_shared" }, "instruction_anchor": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.2419230577438893, "all_failure_difference": 0.0, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 1.6587783818356248, "independent_condition": "A_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.5060814168935587, "majority_failure_difference": 0.0, "matched_fraction": 1.0, "matched_items": 11, "mean_loss_difference": 0.015151515151515027, "planned_items": 11, "shared_condition": "A_shared" } }, "cs-v7-constraint-fresh-ordered-policy-exceptions": { "evidence_corruption": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.299038105676658, "all_failure_difference": 0.0, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 1.6031250000000001, "independent_condition": "E_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.4719548493769974, "majority_failure_difference": 0.2222222222222222, "matched_fraction": 1.0, "matched_items": 9, "mean_loss_difference": 0.037037037037037035, "planned_items": 9, "shared_condition": "E_shared" }, "instruction_anchor": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.0, "all_failure_difference": 0.0, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 1.0, "independent_condition": "A_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.0, "majority_failure_difference": 0.0, "matched_fraction": 1.0, "matched_items": 9, "mean_loss_difference": 0.0, "planned_items": 9, "shared_condition": "A_shared" } }, "cs-v7-extraction-fresh-authoritative-audit-reduction": { "evidence_corruption": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 2.138089935299395, "all_failure_difference": 0.0, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 3.6770186335403725, "independent_condition": "E_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 1.3021022698995426, "majority_failure_difference": 0.0, "matched_fraction": 0.8, "matched_items": 8, "mean_loss_difference": -0.0625, "planned_items": 10, "shared_condition": "E_shared" }, "instruction_anchor": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 0.7071067811865476, "all_failure_difference": 0.0, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.6071428571428572, "independent_condition": "A_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": -0.49899116611898775, "majority_failure_difference": 0.11111111111111116, "matched_fraction": 0.9, "matched_items": 9, "mean_loss_difference": 0.0, "planned_items": 10, "shared_condition": "A_shared" } }, "cs-v7-extraction-fresh-cross-record-final-join": { "evidence_corruption": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 0.765092055676006, "all_failure_difference": 0.0, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.5681492109038737, "independent_condition": "E_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": -0.5653711995060434, "majority_failure_difference": 0.0, "matched_fraction": 1.0, "matched_items": 10, "mean_loss_difference": -0.016666666666666607, "planned_items": 10, "shared_condition": "E_shared" }, "instruction_anchor": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 0.9147320339189785, "all_failure_difference": 0.0, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.9023609443777513, "independent_condition": "A_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": -0.10274067889817347, "majority_failure_difference": -0.09999999999999998, "matched_fraction": 1.0, "matched_items": 10, "mean_loss_difference": -0.03333333333333327, "planned_items": 10, "shared_condition": "A_shared" } }, "cs-v7-tool_call-conditional-incident-response-dag": { "evidence_corruption": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.914854215512676, "all_failure_difference": -0.25, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 1.5098039215686274, "independent_condition": "E_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.41197978912935806, "majority_failure_difference": 0.0, "matched_fraction": 1.0, "matched_items": 8, "mean_loss_difference": -0.08333333333333326, "planned_items": 8, "shared_condition": "E_shared" }, "instruction_anchor": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.0, "all_failure_difference": 0.0, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 1.0, "independent_condition": "A_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.0, "majority_failure_difference": 0.0, "matched_fraction": 1.0, "matched_items": 8, "mean_loss_difference": 0.0, "planned_items": 8, "shared_condition": "A_shared" } }, "cs-v7-tool_call-multi-region-release-dag": { "evidence_corruption": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.0, "all_failure_difference": 0.0, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 1.0, "independent_condition": "E_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.0, "majority_failure_difference": 0.0, "matched_fraction": 1.0, "matched_items": 12, "mean_loss_difference": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "planned_items": 12, "shared_condition": "E_shared" }, "instruction_anchor": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": NaN, "all_failure_difference": -0.18181818181818177, "dependence_inflation_ratio": NaN, "independent_condition": "A_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": NaN, "majority_failure_difference": 0.0, "matched_fraction": 0.9166666666666666, "matched_items": 11, "mean_loss_difference": -0.030303030303030387, "planned_items": 12, "shared_condition": "A_shared" } } } }, "inference": "exploratory point estimates; no multiplicity-adjusted claims", "leave_one_template_family_out": { "cs-v7-arithmetic-lower-tier-batch-reconciliation": { "evidence_corruption": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.0093335966637451, "all_failure_difference": -0.010869565217391297, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 1.0103503879918665, "independent_condition": "E_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.010297189494581983, "majority_failure_difference": 0.021739130434782594, "matched_fraction": 0.968421052631579, "matched_items": 92, "mean_loss_difference": -0.007246376811594235, "planned_items": 95, "shared_condition": "E_shared" }, "instruction_anchor": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.038103994396811, "all_failure_difference": -0.010989010989010978, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 1.042823231898663, "independent_condition": "A_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.041931681212884965, "majority_failure_difference": -0.04395604395604402, "matched_fraction": 0.9578947368421052, "matched_items": 91, "mean_loss_difference": -0.016483516483516536, "planned_items": 95, "shared_condition": "A_shared" } }, "cs-v7-arithmetic-semantic-crate-reconciliation": { "evidence_corruption": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.0115420857800963, "all_failure_difference": -0.010989010989010978, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 1.0245792600594115, "independent_condition": "E_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.024282050330401737, "majority_failure_difference": 0.02197802197802201, "matched_fraction": 0.9680851063829787, "matched_items": 91, "mean_loss_difference": -0.005494505494505586, "planned_items": 94, "shared_condition": "E_shared" }, "instruction_anchor": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.0226781899265596, "all_failure_difference": -0.011363636363636354, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 1.0235269740114121, "independent_condition": "A_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.02325448044844283, "majority_failure_difference": -0.022727272727272707, "matched_fraction": 0.9361702127659575, "matched_items": 88, "mean_loss_difference": -0.013257575757575912, "planned_items": 94, "shared_condition": "A_shared" } }, "cs-v7-arithmetic-semantic-shift-loss-recovery": { "evidence_corruption": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.0007865114522652, "all_failure_difference": -0.011363636363636354, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 1.008065656465935, "independent_condition": "E_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.008033302910831892, "majority_failure_difference": 0.022727272727272707, "matched_fraction": 0.967032967032967, "matched_items": 88, "mean_loss_difference": -0.0037878787878787845, "planned_items": 91, "shared_condition": "E_shared" }, "instruction_anchor": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.0393373957585774, "all_failure_difference": -0.011627906976744179, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 1.0521047483830255, "independent_condition": "A_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.05079268006498236, "majority_failure_difference": -0.05813953488372092, "matched_fraction": 0.945054945054945, "matched_items": 86, "mean_loss_difference": -0.015503875968992276, "planned_items": 91, "shared_condition": "A_shared" } }, "cs-v7-code-fresh-layered-config-precedence": { "evidence_corruption": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 0.999060717672638, "all_failure_difference": -0.011494252873563232, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.9988412532394935, "independent_condition": "E_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": -0.001159418626599281, "majority_failure_difference": 0.011494252873563204, "matched_fraction": 0.9666666666666667, "matched_items": 87, "mean_loss_difference": -0.017241379310344862, "planned_items": 90, "shared_condition": "E_shared" }, "instruction_anchor": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.01430133678333, "all_failure_difference": -0.011904761904761918, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 1.019967567072816, "independent_condition": "A_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.0197708298032096, "majority_failure_difference": -0.011904761904761973, "matched_fraction": 0.9333333333333333, "matched_items": 84, "mean_loss_difference": -0.011904761904761751, "planned_items": 90, "shared_condition": "A_shared" } }, "cs-v7-code-fresh-versioned-transition-policy": { "evidence_corruption": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 0.9960040687303093, "all_failure_difference": -0.022988505747126436, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.9929624110090782, "independent_condition": "E_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": -0.007062469622146706, "majority_failure_difference": 0.0, "matched_fraction": 0.9666666666666667, "matched_items": 87, "mean_loss_difference": -0.017241379310344862, "planned_items": 90, "shared_condition": "E_shared" }, "instruction_anchor": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.0198790857132933, "all_failure_difference": -0.023529411764705882, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 1.009940415454548, "independent_condition": "A_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.009891334513460767, "majority_failure_difference": -0.04705882352941182, "matched_fraction": 0.9444444444444444, "matched_items": 85, "mean_loss_difference": -0.01764705882352935, "planned_items": 90, "shared_condition": "A_shared" } }, "cs-v7-constraint-fresh-multi-adjustment-band-policy": { "evidence_corruption": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 0.9884212764140778, "all_failure_difference": -0.011494252873563232, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.9668976111650118, "independent_condition": "E_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": -0.03366267210794093, "majority_failure_difference": 0.05747126436781613, "matched_fraction": 0.9775280898876404, "matched_items": 87, "mean_loss_difference": 0.0019157088122605526, "planned_items": 89, "shared_condition": "E_shared" }, "instruction_anchor": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.0190532869664612, "all_failure_difference": -0.01204819277108432, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 1.0105757656537853, "independent_condition": "A_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.010520233431587351, "majority_failure_difference": -0.048192771084337394, "matched_fraction": 0.9325842696629213, "matched_items": 83, "mean_loss_difference": -0.02008032128514059, "planned_items": 89, "shared_condition": "A_shared" } }, "cs-v7-constraint-fresh-ordered-policy-exceptions": { "evidence_corruption": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.0187269722660044, "all_failure_difference": -0.011363636363636354, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 1.0214423171515177, "independent_condition": "E_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.02121566491118983, "majority_failure_difference": 0.0, "matched_fraction": 0.967032967032967, "matched_items": 88, "mean_loss_difference": -0.011363636363636465, "planned_items": 91, "shared_condition": "E_shared" }, "instruction_anchor": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.0479045641350972, "all_failure_difference": -0.011764705882352955, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 1.0500001265217023, "independent_condition": "A_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.04879028466628405, "majority_failure_difference": -0.04705882352941171, "matched_fraction": 0.9340659340659341, "matched_items": 85, "mean_loss_difference": -0.017647058823529238, "planned_items": 91, "shared_condition": "A_shared" } }, "cs-v7-extraction-fresh-authoritative-audit-reduction": { "evidence_corruption": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.003380672252923, "all_failure_difference": -0.011235955056179775, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.9980680259214614, "independent_condition": "E_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": -0.0019338427476601231, "majority_failure_difference": 0.022471910112359605, "matched_fraction": 0.9888888888888889, "matched_items": 89, "mean_loss_difference": -0.0018726591760299671, "planned_items": 90, "shared_condition": "E_shared" }, "instruction_anchor": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.0359512796696677, "all_failure_difference": -0.011764705882352955, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 1.0468134093273913, "independent_condition": "A_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.04575070141927451, "majority_failure_difference": -0.05882352941176472, "matched_fraction": 0.9444444444444444, "matched_items": 85, "mean_loss_difference": -0.01764705882352935, "planned_items": 90, "shared_condition": "A_shared" } }, "cs-v7-extraction-fresh-cross-record-final-join": { "evidence_corruption": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.0078645158585064, "all_failure_difference": -0.011494252873563232, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 1.0092146638977655, "independent_condition": "E_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.00917246789894685, "majority_failure_difference": 0.02298850574712641, "matched_fraction": 0.9666666666666667, "matched_items": 87, "mean_loss_difference": -0.005747126436781547, "planned_items": 90, "shared_condition": "E_shared" }, "instruction_anchor": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.0297683256777632, "all_failure_difference": -0.011904761904761918, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 1.0337527244061324, "independent_condition": "A_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.0331956028116696, "majority_failure_difference": -0.0357142857142857, "matched_fraction": 0.9333333333333333, "matched_items": 84, "mean_loss_difference": -0.01388888888888895, "planned_items": 90, "shared_condition": "A_shared" } }, "cs-v7-tool_call-conditional-incident-response-dag": { "evidence_corruption": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.0357183103048113, "all_failure_difference": 0.011235955056179775, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 1.0585911452811811, "independent_condition": "E_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.05693891585092077, "majority_failure_difference": 0.022471910112359605, "matched_fraction": 0.967391304347826, "matched_items": 89, "mean_loss_difference": 0.0, "planned_items": 92, "shared_condition": "E_shared" }, "instruction_anchor": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.0277537724664052, "all_failure_difference": -0.011627906976744193, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 1.0214225228044411, "independent_condition": "A_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.021196285903151688, "majority_failure_difference": -0.046511627906976716, "matched_fraction": 0.9347826086956522, "matched_items": 86, "mean_loss_difference": -0.01744186046511642, "planned_items": 92, "shared_condition": "A_shared" } }, "cs-v7-tool_call-multi-region-release-dag": { "evidence_corruption": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.0015396467931827, "all_failure_difference": -0.011764705882352941, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 1.0014532847737778, "independent_condition": "E_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.0014522297774773188, "majority_failure_difference": 0.02352941176470591, "matched_fraction": 0.9659090909090909, "matched_items": 85, "mean_loss_difference": -0.007843137254901933, "planned_items": 88, "shared_condition": "E_shared" }, "instruction_anchor": { "absolute_volatility_ratio": 1.0528340609394484, "all_failure_difference": 0.012048192771084335, "dependence_inflation_ratio": 1.0721587955359237, "independent_condition": "A_independent", "log_dependence_inflation_ratio": 0.06967418184252878, "majority_failure_difference": -0.04819277108433728, "matched_fraction": 0.9431818181818182, "matched_items": 83, "mean_loss_difference": -0.014056224899598346, "planned_items": 88, "shared_condition": "A_shared" } } }, "schema_version": "cmfc.common-shock-subgroups.v1" }, "verdict_outcomes": { "model_failure": 2014, "nan": 15, "pass": 1571 } }